U.S.-Iran conflict escalation dominates risk sentiment with fresh airstrikes offsetting peace talk optimism, keeping oil near $100 and driving safe-haven flows. Key data today includes Core PCE (08:30 UTC, forecast 0.3%) and Prelim GDP (forecast 2.0%) which could shift Fed policy expectations amid ongoing geopolitical uncertainty. Dollar strength (+0.15%) and continued crypto ETF outflows ($181M net outflow, 7th consecutive day) reflect broader risk-off positioning.
Crypto markets remain under heavy selling pressure with all major assets in confirmed bearish structure. BTC testing critical $75k-$77k range amid ETF outflows and macro headwinds. Market structure shows no bullish order blocks across BTC/ETH/SOL/XRP with 2 active bear order blocks each, indicating institutional selling pressure. DeFi activity remains stable with DEX volumes 6.2% above average, suggesting underlying demand persists despite price weakness.