Geopolitical tensions dominate with Iran-US exchange of heavy fire and stalled ceasefire talks weighing on risk assets. Oil prices rising on Strait concerns while DXY holds near 99.41 as markets price mechanical risk-aversion rather than dollar strength. Gold's +1.37% move and VIX at 16.1 suggest cautious but not panicked positioning ahead of potential escalation.
Bitcoin testing 4-month lows around $61k with conflicting headlines citing both $61k and $67k levels, indicating high volatility and poor price discovery. Seventh consecutive day of ETF outflows ($92M) reflects institutional risk-off positioning. All major alts showing unified bearish structure with declining stablecoin supply (-0.5% to -1% across majors) signaling reduced buying power.